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  • Ñïðàâêà î ãðóïïå ÃÔÒ
  • Ðóêîâîäñòâî ãðóïïû ÃÔÒ
  • Îôèöèàëüíàÿ èíôîðìàöèÿ
  • Ñîòðóäíè÷åñòâî
  • Ìû â ÑÌÈ
  • Íîâîñòè
  • Íàø âçãëÿä íà ðûíîê
  • Âàêàíñèè
  • Êîíòàêòû

ÖÁ ÐÔ íå âåðèò â äåôîëò ÑØÀ è íå íàìåðåí ìåíÿòü ñòðóêòóðó ðåçåðâîâ.

ÖÁ, ñêîðåå, áåñïîêîèò ñïîñîáíîñòü ïîëèòèêîâ ÑØÀ ïðèíÿòü ðåøåíèå â îòíîøåíèè ñîêðàùåíèÿ äåôèöèòà áþäæåòà â äîëãîñðî÷íîé ïåðñïåêòèâå

Áàíê Ðîññèè ïî-ïðåæíåìó íå âåðèò â âîçìîæíîñòü òåõíè÷åñêîãî äåôîëòà ïî ãîñáóìàãàì ÑØÀ è íå íàìåðåí ðåçêî ìåíÿòü âàëþòíóþ ñòðóêòóðó ðåçåðâîâ, ñîîáùèë çàìåñòèòåëü ïðåäñåäàòåëÿ ÖÁ ÐÔ Ñåðãåé Øâåöîâ.

ÑØÀ ïîñëå 2 àâãóñòà ìîãóò îáúÿâèòü òåõíè÷åñêèé äåôîëò, åñëè êîíãðåññ íå ïðîãîëîñóåò çà ïîâûøåíèå "ïîòîëêà" ãîñäîëãà.  ÷åòâåðã íàñòóïàåò êðàéíèé ñðîê, êîòîðûé ïðåçèäåíò Áàðàê Îáàìà íàçíà÷èë ïðåäñòàâèòåëÿì îáåèõ ïàðòèé äëÿ âûðàáîòêè ìåð ïðåäîòâðàùåíèÿ äåôîëòà. Åñëè äî 2 àâãóñòà ðåøåíèå íå áóäåò íàéäåíî, ÑØÀ òàêæå ìîãóò ëèøèòüñÿ íàèâûñøåãî êðåäèòíîãî ðåéòèíãà.

"Ìû ñ âåðîÿòíîñòüþ 99,9% âîîáùå íå æäåì ñ ýòîé ñòîðîíû íèêàêèõ ïðîáëåì", - ñêàçàë Øâåöîâ â èíòåðâüþ àãåíòñòâó Ðåéòåð, äîáàâèâ, ÷òî ÖÁ, ñêîðåå, áåñïîêîèò ñïîñîáíîñòü ïîëèòèêîâ ÑØÀ ïðèíÿòü ðåøåíèå â îòíîøåíèè ñîêðàùåíèÿ äåôèöèòà áþäæåòà â äîëãîñðî÷íîé ïåðñïåêòèâå.

Ïðîáëåìà ãîñäîëãà ïðåâðàòèëàñü â ðû÷àã äëÿ ðåàëèçàöèè îäíîé èç ïàðòèé ñâîèõ èäåé ïî ñîêðàùåíèþ äåôèöèòà, îòìå÷àåò îí.

 ñåðåäèíå èþëÿ ïåðâûé çàìïðåä ÖÁ ÐÔ Àëåêñåé Óëþêàåâ çàÿâëÿë, ÷òî íå îïàñàåòñÿ íàñòóïëåíèÿ òåõíè÷åñêîãî äåôîëòà ÑØÀ ïî ñâîèì îáÿçàòåëüñòâàì, è íå ñîâåòîâàë íåêâàëèôèöèðîâàííûì èíâåñòîðàì â Ðîññèè èçáàâëÿòüñÿ îò äîëëàðà.

Áåç ðåçêèõ äâèæåíèé

 ñâîþ î÷åðåäü ãëàâà äåïàðòàìåíòà îïåðàöèé íà ôèíàíñîâûõ ðûíêàõ ÖÁ Àëåêñàíäð Êàøòóðîâ ñ÷èòàåò, ÷òî ó Ðîññèè íåò ïîâîäà ìåíÿòü âàëþòíóþ ñòðóêòóðó ìåæäóíàðîäíûõ ðåçåðâîâ, ïðåâûøàþùèõ 530 ìèëëèàðäîâ äîëëàðîâ.

"ÑØÀ íå ÿâëÿþòñÿ ñòðàíîé, ó êîòîðîé ñåãîäíÿ ïëîõàÿ ýêîíîìèêà. Ýòî äèâåðñèôèöèðîâàííàÿ ýêîíîìèêà ñ íàêîïëåííûì äîëãîì. Ãîâîðÿ î íàøèõ ðåøåíèÿõ, ìû íå âèäèì ïðè÷èí ÷òî-ëèáî ðåçêî äåëàòü ñ íàøèì ïîðòôåëåì", - ñêàçàë îí.
Ãëàâà Öåíòðîáàíêà Ñåðãåé Èãíàòüåâ â ïîñëåäíèé ðàç ðàñêðûâàë ñòðóêòóðó ðåçåðâîâ â êîíöå ìàÿ: 47% ïðèõîäèëèñü òîãäà íà äîëëàð ÑØÀ, 41% - íà åâðî, 9% - íà ôóíò ñòåðëèíãîâ, 2% - íà ÿïîíñêóþ èåíó, 1% - íà êàíàäñêèé äîëëàð, îêîëî íóëÿ ñîñòàâëÿëè äîëè øâåéöàðñêîãî ôðàíêà è àâñòðàëèéñêîãî äîëëàðà.

Ýòàëîí äëÿ èíâåñòîðîâ

Øâåöîâ ñ÷èòàåò, ÷òî äàæå â ñëó÷àå ñíèæåíèÿ ðåéòèíãà ãîñáóìàãè ÑØÀ îñòàíóòñÿ ýòàëîíîì äëÿ èíâåñòîðîâ.

"ÑØÀ âñå ðàâíî îñòàíåòñÿ áåí÷ìàðêîì. Åñëè íå áóäåò ñòðàíû, ãäå åñòü ãîñóäàðñòâåííûé äîëã ñ ðåéòèíãîì "ÀÀÀ", çíà÷èò ëó÷øàÿ ñòðàíà áóäåò ñ ðåéòèíãîì "ÀÀ", - ñêàçàë çàìïðåä ÖÁ.

Ïðåèìóùåñòâîì ãîñäîëãà ÑØÀ, ïîÿñíèë â ñâîþ î÷åðåäü Êàøòóðîâ, ÿâëÿåòñÿ íàëè÷èå îãðîìíîãî ðûíêà. "Âñåãäà ìîæíî êóïèòü Treasuries è ïðîäàòü, ÷òî ñàìîå ãëàâíîå", - ñêàçàë îí.

"Ñåé÷àñ íåò "òèõîé ãàâàíè" íè íà îäíîì èç ðàçâèâàþùèõñÿ ðûíêîâ. È ãîâîðèòü î òîì, ÷òî íàäî ïðîäàòü âñå äîëëàðû, êîòîðûå íàõîäÿòñÿ â ðåçåðâå êàêîãî-íèáóäü Öåíòðîáàíêà, è âëîæèòü â ðóáëè, ÿ áû òàêîãî ñîâåòà íèêîãäà íå äàë", - ñêàçàë Øâåöîâ.
Ðóáëü: òðåíäà íåò

Êîììåíòèðóÿ ñèòóàöèþ ñ ðîññèéñêèì ðóáëåì, îí îòìåòèë, ÷òî ðîññèéñêîé âàëþòîé äâèæåò ðûíîê, à ðîñò ðóáëÿ â ïîñëåäíåå âðåìÿ - íè÷òî èíîå, êàê "îáû÷íàÿ âîëàòèëüíîñòü".

"Íå äóìàþ, ÷òî íàäî ãîâîðèòü î áîëüøîì òðåíäå íà óêðåïëåíèå èëè îñëàáëåíèå. Ýòî ðûíî÷íûå ôàêòîðû - åñòü ñïðîñ è åñòü ïðåäëîæåíèå. Áàíê Ðîññèè ñòàðàåòñÿ ìèíèìèçèðîâàòü ñâîå ïðèñóòñòâèå íà âàëþòíîì ðûíêå", - ñêàçàë Øâåöîâ.
Ïî åãî ñëîâàì, ìåõàíèçì âàëþòíûõ èíòåðâåíöèé ÖÁ íå ïðåòåðïåë èçìåíåíèé â ïîñëåäíåå âðåìÿ. Çàìïðåä ÖÁ ïîäòâåðäèë, ÷òî íå èñêëþ÷àåò â ýòîì ãîäó ðàñøèðåíèÿ êîðèäîðà èçìåíåíèÿ ñòîèìîñòè ðóáëÿ ê áèâàëþòíîé êîðçèíå (0,55 äîëëàðà è 0,45 åâðî).

"Íå ìîãó èñêëþ÷èòü ýòîãî, îñåíüþ îáñóäèì ýòîò âîïðîñ. Åñëè ñèòóàöèÿ íà âíåøíèõ ðûíêàõ áóäåò íåðâíàÿ, òî íàøà ðåàêöèÿ áóäåò ñêðîìíåå, åñëè áîëåå-ìåíåå ñòàáèëüíàÿ, òî, íàâåðíîå, áóäåì èäòè òàê, êàê øëè (ê ñâîáîäíîìó ïëàâàíèþ êóðñà ðóáëÿ - ðåä.)", - ñêàçàë îí.

Âîçâðàò ê ñïèñêó